As numerous supporters in the UK concentrate on club early-season performances or discuss upcoming autumn internationals, the contest for 2027 Rugby World Cup qualification rages on unabated.
Chile earned their second consecutive spot at the tournament with a sensational playoff victory over Samoa recently, leaving only one place left to be claimed for Australia in two years. At the same time, the Paraguayan side surprised Brazil 39-19 in the first leg of their playoff.
The second leg takes place on Saturday in JacareÃ, near São Paulo, as Brazil's squad attempts to follow the women's success and secure qualification for the first occasion.
Regardless of Paraguay manages a surprise aggregate victory, or Brazil bounces back following head coach Emiliano Caffera's recent dismissal, the lineup for November's Dubai qualification tournament will be confirmed. Namibia, the Belgian squad, and Samoa have already secured their places for the Middle Eastern competition from 8-18 November.
Several other teams have likewise earned their spots. Hong Kong China achieved maiden qualification following beating Korea by a large margin in July, and the Zimbabwean squad will return to rugby union's most prestigious stage for the first occasion since 1991 by virtue of claiming victory in the Rugby Africa Cup.
The knock-on effect of Chile's playoff success ensures that Los Condores will face Italy for the first time in November during the fall test series, replacing Samoa who must participate in Dubai.
World Rugby's CEO described Chile an "thrilling and rapidly rising force" in confirming the upcoming match in the Italian city. As domestic the sport promotional efforts seek increased attendance, rugby in Chile is buoyant. A sell-out audience of over 20,000 saw the playoff victory in Viña del Mar, and head coach Pablo Lemoine has led the team on an upward trajectory since his appointment in 2018.
The 50-year-old former Uruguayan prop has been making an impact for decades: recruited by Bristol in the 1990s, he memorably ran straight through England defensive line to score at the 2003 global tournament.
His influence as head coach has been equally powerful: Chile have risen to seventeenth place, their highest-ever position. At the previous World Cup in France, they were defeated in all matches, conceding 215 points and scoring 27, featuring a 71-0 loss to the English team.
However, they confidently took the positives, and after the tournament draw in Sydney on December 3rd, Lemoine can start preparations in earnest. They faced Scotland previously, losing by a significant margin in front of twenty-four thousand supporters, and although they were defeated over both matches by the Uruguayan side in the first qualifying round, they achieved a narrow win on the road in Montevideo.
The Samoan team, meanwhile, have not missed all World Cup for decades, but are presently languishing in 16th place in the global rankings. They were without a victory in the recent regional tournament, resulting in playoff misery versus Chile, and the requirement to meet teams like Belgium adds further challenge for the proud rugby nation.
Apart from individual nations' fortunes, it is important to consider how different the larger tournament will look in 2027. For the first occasion, there will be a round of 16 with six groups of four teams instead of four pools of five. Pool-stage jeopardy is significantly reduced because the four best third-placed teams will additionally qualify.
The hosts, Australia, are now placed seventh in the global rankings, meaning they would fall short on top seeding and might meet one of the Springboks, New Zealand, the Irish, the French, the English, or the Pumas in Pool A. They could climb into the top six during a packed autumn schedule, however: England, the Italian side, the Irish squad, and France are their fixtures, with a game against the Japanese team in the capital additionally planned for 25 October.
Wales, on the other hand, are teetering in 12th, with the Japanese side behind, and the implications of dropping to thirteenth and into the third seeding group are potentially severe.
Another new dimension for 2027 is the participation of five teams from the American continent: Argentina, the Uruguayan side, the United States, Canada, and Chile – with either Paraguay or Brazil potentially making it six. From World Rugby's perspective, engagement from the Americas is beneficial, especially with the 2031 tournament scheduled to be hosted by the United States, and the host selection for the 2035 tournament was launched recently.
For now, however. The return match of Brazil versus Paraguay sets up a four-way Dubai shootout, combined with a possible rankings shake-up throughout Europe in the coming month. Regardless of the outcome, Chile's successful qualification for a second consecutive World Cup has already made them as a resounding triumphant example.
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